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Sourced analysis at the intersection of climate, capital and infrastructure.
India's Climate DPI: The Gaps Between the Pitch and the Plumbing
Oct 3, 2026 · @Pranav Khanna
India pitches its digital public infrastructure as the backbone for climate finance: identity, land and payments, stitched together so that a farmer's plot can be verified, credited and paid. I spent a week pressure-testing a plan to build climate pre-screeners on that stack.
The pitch holds at the level of architecture diagrams. It breaks at the level of API calls.
Below are five gaps between what India's climate DPI promises and what an independent builder can actually reach as of October 2026, with a source for every claim. None of this argues against DPI. It argues for being precise about which rails exist, which are gated, and which are still a press release.
The promise: who, where, paid
India's climate DPI story rests on three rails that almost no other country has together.
Who. Aadhaar for identity, and now AgriStack Farmer IDs: 6 crore generated across 17 states by May 2025 (ICRISAT ISSCA), with a target of 11 crore by 2026-27 and full sync with Records of Rights by March 2027 (Shankar IAS).
Where. Bhu-Aadhaar, the 14-digit ULPIN for every land parcel, plus AgriStack's geo-referenced village maps and crop-sown registry.
Paid and verified. UPI for disbursement, Account Aggregator for consented financial data, and digital MRV, which the Minister of State for Power named as the credibility pillar of the Indian Carbon Market at Prakriti 2026 (Offset8, citing PIB).
Together, these would answer the question every carbon project, climate grant and green loan has to answer: whose land is this, what is on it, and did the money and the outcome reach the right person? The coupling is real and rare. The problem is that each rail sits at a different stage of build, and climate use cases need all three working at once.
Gap 1: the land layer is partly built, and not yours to query
The last national figure I could find puts ULPINs at about 8.4 crore of 28.72 crore listed rural parcels, roughly 30%. Even where IDs exist, they don't always reach owners: Gujarat had generated ULPINs for nearly all its 1.2 crore parcels but had not yet shared them with landowners (ThePrint).
More important for builders: I found no national API that lets a private, non-lending entity resolve a ULPIN to a parcel, an owner and a land-use history. Land records live on state portals.
Parcel-level data does flow, but through bilateral deals. Uttar Pradesh worked with IFC to give SatSure and a few others APIs to its land records and farm boundaries for digital farm lending (C4S, citing ET Government). SatSure now offers parcel-level crop intelligence across all 75 UP districts (SatSure) and covers 630,000+ farm plots in 230+ districts, piped into bank lending via API (IndiaAI).
That is useful infrastructure. It is not public infrastructure. The land layer currently behaves like a set of private partnerships, which favours whoever already has a bank as a customer.
Gap 2: consent is per farmer, and the plumbing arrives in 2026-27
AgriStack's data exchange, the Unified Farmer Service Interface (UFSI), lets authorised companies verify farmer, land and crop data, but only with that farmer's consent, request by request, never in bulk (Creuto). Access rules differ across states, and no unified open-API framework has been published. Telangana's ADeX is the exception: documented APIs, priced tiers, and a data-user agreement with the state (arXiv 2603.23289).
The privacy design is right. The DPDP Rules were notified on 13 November 2025; consent-manager registration opens on 14 November 2026, and notice, consent and breach obligations bind from 14 May 2027 (Lidings).
The gap is what's missing between "one farmer's consent" and "no access". Climate work runs at landscape scale: a watershed, a district, a supply shed of 20,000 smallholders. There is no aggregate, anonymised tier designed for that. A carbon developer screening a district has to either collect consent farmer by farmer or buy the data from someone who already did.
Gap 3: India's own carbon market barely sees land
The Carbon Credit Trading Scheme's offset mechanism has nine approved methodologies. Two touch land directly: afforestation and reforestation of degraded mangroves (BM FR05.001) and of land other than wetlands (BM FR05.002). One more covers manure methane on small farms (BM AG04.001). The rest are renewables, hydrogen, industrial efficiency and landfill gas (Offset8, citing BEE).
There is no CCTS methodology for soil carbon, and none for avoided deforestation. India's Article 6 activity list, 13 areas eligible for international transfer, contains no nature-based activity at all; its only removal category is CCUS (same source).
Meanwhile, Indian land carbon is happening, just elsewhere. Grow Indigo reached India's first Verra VM0042 soil-carbon issuance in January 2026 (Indigo Ag). Varaha raised $20 million in February 2026 for regenerative agriculture, agroforestry and biochar removals (TechCrunch). India issued 278 million voluntary credits between 2010 and 2022, 17% of global supply (CEEW).
So the most DPI-shaped climate asset, a farmer's plot, mostly earns carbon revenue through international registries that sit outside the DPI. And the domestic price signal is still missing: the CCC floor and forbearance prices were unpublished as of April 2026 (Reclimatize).
Gap 4: a parcel ID tells you who holds title, not who holds the carbon
I found no Indian statute that assigns carbon rights. The CCTS offset framework is silent on land rights and community consent. Supreme Court rulings under the Forest Rights Act, starting with the Orissa Mining case, treat recognised community forest rights as a precondition for commercial activity on forest land (ELSJ, NUALS).
The overlap is large. MoEFCC estimates that more than half of India's recorded forest land falls under Community Forest Resource rights (Mongabay India). Researchers have documented communities signing away carbon credit rights to companies after being misled by local intermediaries (Ecological Indicators).
The Green Credit Programme went the other way: its 2025 revisions restrict credits to plantations on forest-department land and make them non-tradable (Mongabay India, above).
This is the gap DPI cannot fix with better APIs. ULPIN and the Record of Rights can tell you the titleholder. They cannot tell you whether a Gram Sabha has a claim, whether consent was free and informed, or who is entitled to the carbon revenue. A recent legal analysis recommends that CCTS formally recognise Gram Sabhas as project proponents or co-proponents in CFR areas (NJLRII). Until something like that exists, any land screener that claims to resolve "eligibility" is overstating what the data can know.
Gap 5: the money layer is thin and runs on separate pipes
The "paid" rail moves money well. What it lacks is climate money to move, and a way to connect the sources.
Climate gets about 0.5% of domestic philanthropic funding in India (WEF). Funders surveyed for the 2024 India Climate Finance Report describe grant capital as still sparse (ANDE). The Green Climate Fund has 15 projects in India worth $1.0 billion in total (GCF).
Grants, CSR, carbon revenue, concessional debt and green credits each run on their own pipe, with their own eligibility rules and their own registry or none. Nothing links a project's land, its proponent and its funding history in one place.
The Web3 answer, tokenized credits on a shared ledger, has not filled the gap. Verra banned tokenizing retired credits in May 2022 (TIME). Toucan's BCT sits at about 21 million tokens against 776 million+ cumulative Verra retirements, roughly 3% (CoinLaw). Indian CCCs settle T+1 inside the GRID-India registry across IEX, PXIL and HPX (Reclimatize); I found no path for them to move on-chain.
What a builder can reach today
Strip away the pitch and the open layer is narrower than the diagrams suggest, but it is not empty.
ISRO's Bhoonidhi gives satellite data at 5 m resolution and coarser free and open to all, with an open data API; finer imagery is free for government and priced or restricted for others (NRSC Bhoonidhi brochure). CoRE Stack, an open digital public good built with IIT Delhi and partners, publishes micro-watershed and village-level landscape layers through public APIs behind a free key (CoRE Stack docs). BEE's methodologies and tools are public documents. That is enough to answer "could this landscape plausibly host a project?" It is not enough to answer "can this parcel, owned by this person, earn credits?"
What would close the gaps
These are my proposals, not announced policy. Each maps to one gap.
- Publish ULPIN coverage by district, with a read-only existence check. Builders need to know where the land rail is live before designing around it.
- Add an aggregate, anonymised AgriStack tier for climate analytics. Village or watershed level, no personal data, standard terms. Telangana's ADeX shows a state can price and govern this.
- Expand land methodologies under CCTS. Soil carbon and biochar are where Indian developers already operate, on foreign registries.
- Write carbon rights into the offset procedure. Recognise Gram Sabhas as proponents or co-proponents in CFR areas, and make consent evidence a registration requirement.
- Link registries before linking chains. GRID-India is designated as India's meta-registry for national and international linkages (Offset8). Cross-registry project IDs matter more right now than tokens.
What climategrants is doing about it. Mapping who funds climate in India is half the picture; the other half is whether a project can earn its own revenue. We are building the first half now: a public, sourced map of who funds climate in India, every edge linked to its source, so a founder can see the whole capital landscape before they apply anywhere. If you're building on these rails and have hit a wall I haven't listed, I want to hear about it.
References
All accessed 3 October 2026. Secondary sources are marked; check the primary document before quoting a figure.
Offset8 Capital: Indian Carbon Market, CCTS and Article 6 (cites PIB and BEE) · Reclimatize: CCC trading under the CERC 2026 regulations (secondary) · CEEW: Voluntary offset mechanism and the CCTS · ThePrint: 30% of rural land parcels have Bhu-Aadhaar · ICRISAT ISSCA: AgriStack · Shankar IAS: AgriStack roadmap (secondary) · Creuto: AgriStack API and UFSI (secondary) · arXiv 2603.23289: AI in Indian agriculture and data access · Lidings: DPDP Rules phased timeline · SatSure: SatSource UP launch · IndiaAI: SatSource use case · C4S, citing ET Government: UP land-record APIs (secondary) · Indigo Ag: Grow Indigo's first VM0042 issuance · TechCrunch: Varaha raises $20M · ELSJ, NUALS: Whose forest, whose carbon? · NJLRII: Can India's carbon market succeed without forest-dependent communities? · Mongabay India: The Green Credits Programme · Ecological Indicators: Forest carbon market mechanisms in India · WEF: India's philanthropic power and climate action · ANDE: The India Climate Finance Report 2024 · Green Climate Fund: India · TIME: Verra halts crypto tokenization · CoinLaw: tokenized carbon statistics (secondary) · NRSC: Bhoonidhi brochure 2025 · CoRE Stack documentation